Oscars 2018 1

Oscars 2018: Picks and Predictions

This Sunday, the biggest stars in Hollywood will come together under one roof to celebrate some of the greatest films in the past year.

There’s a competitive field stacked with talent, including The Shape of Water with 13 nominations and Dunkirk at 7.

But which films will take home the coveted gold statue?

My predictions are who I think will win the Oscar and my picks are the ones I would like to see win.

Best Picture:

Call Me by Your Name

Darkest Hour


Get Out

Lady Bird

Phantom Thread

The Post

The Shape of Water

Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Prediction: Three Billboards

Pick: Lady Bird

It’s shocking to see Three Billboards gain the amount of press it has, because it doesn’t strike me as a film that would be universally known or a box office hit like Get Out or Dunkirk.

It was one of my favorite films of the year, but I love Lady Bird slightly more. I laughed, cried and was heartbroken during Lady Bird, but that’s what going to the movies is all about.

Lead Actor:

Timothée Chalamet, Call Me by Your Name

Daniel Day-Lewis, Phantom Thread

Daniel Kaluuya, Get Out

Gary Oldman, Darkest Hour

Denzel Washington, Roman J. Israel, Esq.

Prediction: Gary Oldman

Pick: Daniel Day-Lewis

I know that the Academy is not allowed to award Day-Lewis his fourth Oscar because that would be unfair.

Gary Oldman gives an incredible performance as Winston Churchill in Darkest Hour, but it feels like Oscar bait.

On the other hand, Day-Lewis is hypnotizing as Reynolds Woodcock and manages to give an unforgettable performance although he’s blown away audiences in so many other roles throughout the decades.

Hats off to Oldman though, it’s well deserved.

Oscars 2018 2Lead Actress:

Sally Hawkins, The Shape of Water

Frances McDormand, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Margot Robbie, I, Tonya

Saoirse Ronan, Lady Bird

Meryl Streep, The Post

Prediction: Sally Hawkins

Pick: Margot Robbie

Sally Hawkins gave an excellent performance as a mute in The Shape of Water by conveying so much emotion without uttering a word.

However, Margot Robbie is wired in I, Tonya and became a much more serious actress in Hollywood with this role.

It’s fine if Hawkins takes the gold, but I’d love to see Robbie pull up an upset.

Supporting Actor:

Willem Dafoe, The Florida Project

Woody Harrelson, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Richard Jenkins, The Shape of Water

Christopher Plummer, All the Money in the World

Sam Rockwell, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Prediction: Sam Rockwell

Pick: Willem Dafoe

I’m not sure why Rockwell is getting all the love during awards season.

Sure, he did fine in his role as Officer Dixon in Three Billboards, but I don’t think anyone saw Dafoe as Bobby in The Florida Project because it underperformed at the box office.

Dafoe acts from the heart in his role and stars as one of the most lovable characters in recent memory. Let’s go Dafoe!

Supporting Actress:

Mary J. Blige, Mudbound

Allison Janney, I, Tonya

Lesley Manville, Phantom Thread

Laurie Metcalf, Lady Bird

Octavia Spencer, The Shape of Water

Prediction: Allison Janney

Pick: Allison Janney

Allison Janney completely transforms herself into a foul-mouthed old woman with wrinkles, a greasy grayish-brown hairdo and Elton John-sized glasses while wearing a fur coat and tubes in her nose from an oxygen tank in I, Tonya; Janney acts hard nosed and packs a punch in this Oscar worthy role.


Christopher Nolan, Dunkirk

Jordan Peele, Get Out

Greta Gerwig, Lady Bird

Paul Thomas Anderson, Phantom Thread

Guillermo del Toro, The Shape of Water

Prediction: Guillermo del Toro

Pick: Guillermo del Toro

I wasn’t blown away by The Shape of Water, but I respect the heart and vision del Toro poured into it. Del Toro is a well respected director who deserves the Oscar for his work in this film and his previous pieces.

Oscars 2018 3

Best Live Action Short Film:

DeKalb Elementary, Reed Van Dyk

The Eleven O’Clock, Derin Seale, Josh Lawson

My Nephew Emmett, Kevin Wilson, Jr.

The Silent Child, Chris Overton, Rachel Shenton

Watu Wote/All of Us, Katja Benrath, Tobias Rosen

Prediction: DeKalb Elementary

Pick: The Silent Child

DeKalb Elementary is a relevant film, considering it touches upon mental illness and school shootings in an emotional way. I loved Dekalb, but I learned something I never thought of from The Silent Child.

There are thousands of children placed in mainstream schools that should instead be learning to communicate through sign language.

This especially hits home, considering I knew someone in that situation who went my high school.

All the films are excellent in this category and I’m content with whoever brings home the gold.


Blade Runner 2049, Roger Deakins

Darkest Hour, Bruno Delbonnel

Dunkirk, Hoyte van Hoytema

Mudbound, Rachel Morrison

The Shape of Water, Dan Laustsen

Prediction: Roger Deakins

Pick: Roger Deakins

Roger Deakins is Hollywood’s biggest loser. The cinematographer has 14 Oscar nominations and not a single win. His work is great in Blade Runner 2049 and it’s about time he wins an Oscar.

Best Documentary Short Subject:

Edith+Eddie, Laura Checkoway, Thomas Lee Wright

Heaven is a Traffic Jam on the 405, Frank Stiefel

Heroin(e), Elaine McMillion Sheldon, Kerrin Sheldon

Knife Skills, Thomas Lennon

Traffic Stop, Kate Davis, David Heilbroner

Prediction: Traffic Stop

Pick: Heaven is a Traffic Jam on the 405

Traffic Stop deserves the win because it deals with the tensions between cops and African Americans by eloquently telling the story of a woman who you would think would be the last person involved in an incident with the police.

I love all the films in this category, but Heaven is a Traffic Jam on the 405 tells an unexpectedly heartwarming story that shows how art can be the cure to our toughest problems.

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